Despite her missteps and general lack of political dexterity, Vice President Kamala Harris will likely win the Democratic nomination for president in 2024 should Joe Biden decide not to run for re-election, according to one commentator.
Writing at ZeroHedge, Tyler Durden conceded that the vice president has demonstrated “a near-total lack of the political skill generally needed to make a serious run at the presidency.
“She has been given large projects and failed to advance the administration’s goals. She has not improved as a speaker and comes across as indifferent, haughty and detached,” he added. “Her approval ratings lag even those of her feckless boss. Transportation secretary Pete Buttigieg — mediocrity made flesh — labors to supplant her as heir apparent with surprising brazenness.”
So why should Democrats “get used to the idea of nominating Kamala Harris if Biden doesn’t run,” and why are they “unlikely to have much of a choice” in the matter?
According to Durden, it boils down to a few reasons. For one thing, he wrote, Harris hails from the “Democratic heartland” of California.
“There has never been a state with the influence over a single party that California exerts over the Democrats today,” he wrote, pointing out that “Nearly one in eight Americans resides in the Golden State, which went to both Clinton and Biden nearly two-to-one.
“Culturally, California calls the tune for affluent white liberals and progressives. Materially, its major industries — entertainment, tech, finance, public sector unions and renewable energy — fund and backstop Democratic campaigns,” Durden added.
And that will make it very tough for any of Harris’ possible challengers to build a campaign infrastructure, he said.
“So long as she controls California, Harris can make life very difficult for any prospective challengers seeking volunteers, operatives and dollars,” Durden wrote. “If, as seems likely, Democrats demote the Iowa caucuses and give Nevada the first presidential nominating contest, having a political infrastructure in neighboring California will only become more, not less, valuable.”
Speaking of potential challengers, Democrats’ bench is very thin, the commentator said.
“To put the matter bluntly, even if they do not love her, who could win Southern black voters away from Kamala Harris in a Democratic primary? Warren? No. Klobuchar? C’mon. Buttigieg? No way,” Durden wrote.
Lastly, he said, Harris benefits from her current position as Biden’s vice president.
“Even if Joe decides tomorrow to forego reelection, he’ll keep the decision a secret for as long as possible. Making himself a lame duck any earlier than necessary would bury his effectiveness in office,” Durden wrote.
“As a result, Biden will freeze the field by giving every indication of running for reelection even if he has no intention of following through on the threat. No other Democrat can ramp up a large political apparatus without appearing to be challenging Biden as the incumbent.”
No one, that is, but Harris.
“Harris, by contrast, enjoys institutional benefits by virtue of her position. She can fly around the country, hold political rallies nominally for her own reelection as vice president, and keep close tabs on the Democratic Party apparatus,” Durden wrote.